17.2. Operational NWP Models#
There are three primary synoptic models that are used for forecasting across the United States: the Rapid Refresh (RAP), the North American Model (NAM), and the Global Forecast System (GFS) model. All three models have a slightly varying purpose and have different forecast periods, which are summarized below.
RAP |
NAM |
GFS |
|
---|---|---|---|
Forecast Hours |
48 |
84 |
384 |
Model Type |
Grid Point |
Grid Point |
Finite Volume |
Output Time |
Every hour |
Every three hours |
Every six hours |
Areal Coverage |
Regional (U.S.) |
Regional (NA) |
Global |
Runs |
Every hour |
00, 06, 12, 18 UTC |
00, 06, 12, 18 UTC |
For more information on these and other models run by governments across the world check out the Operational Models Encyclopedia.
To access forecast hours from a model file you would simply input how many hours into the future you desire into a timedelta function and add it to your date variable. If model run time is set as,
model_run_time = datetime(2020, 2, 20, 12)
Then if you wanted the six-hour forecast then,
plot_time = model_run_time + timedelta(hours=6)
or the 24-hour forecast
plot_time = model_run_time + timedelta(hours=24)
or the 120-hour forecast
plot_time = model_run_time + timedelta(hours=120)